Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.240990 0.278162 0.318951 0.367000 0.422030 0.483061 0.555861
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.193100 0.244089 0.305036 0.383139 0.480466 0.597649 0.749368
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.151940 0.208791 0.282287 0.383988 0.520803 0.698204 0.945437
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120914 0.179588 0.261159 0.382335 0.557233 0.799919 1.161608
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.098107 0.156661 0.243752 0.381910 0.594670 0.908828 1.406644
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.081299 0.138897 0.230122 0.383919 0.635366 1.028481 1.687409
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.069654 0.126735 0.222571 0.393510 0.688836 1.175430 2.034120
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.058489 0.112974 0.209646 0.391497 0.722407 1.295117 2.355568
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.051170 0.104506 0.204133 0.401034 0.776948 1.457733 2.775322
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043386 0.093504 0.191867 0.395699 0.803123 1.573564 3.128735
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.038215 0.086629 0.186156 0.401744 0.851500 1.736858 3.595097
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032410 0.077195 0.173524 0.391390 0.865181 1.834864 3.948304
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029357 0.073335 0.172128 0.404999 0.931934 2.051121 4.579470
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026806 0.070114 0.171570 0.420427 1.005406 2.292767 5.302419
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023561 0.064519 0.164552 0.419796 1.042837 2.462841 5.896548
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020671 0.059194 0.157174 0.416953 1.074643 2.625227 6.498774
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018283 0.054675 0.150940 0.415792 1.110320 2.801866 7.161561
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016352 0.050993 0.146162 0.417502 1.153491 3.002774 7.913588
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014998 0.048681 0.144618 0.427580 1.220098 3.271075 8.873559
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013354 0.045123 0.138939 0.425182 1.252941 3.458999 9.656719
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012322 0.043246 0.137731 0.435363 1.322294 3.752051 10.759991
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010934 0.039889 0.131478 0.429488 1.344987 3.923851 11.561915
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010042 0.038002 0.129387 0.435964 1.405156 4.207664 12.717432